UAV Market to Reach $10B Mark by 2024
October 5, 2015 | IHSEstimated reading time: 2 minutes
The global defense and security market for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), also referred to as 'drones', will expand at 5.5 percent per year over this decade, from the current figure of $6.4 billion, to $10.4 billion by 2024, according to new analysis released today by IHS Inc.
"Unmanned systems are here to stay," said Derrick Maple, principal analyst, unmanned systems for IHS Jane's. "These systems are well established, combat proven and are an essential and expanding element of future operations across the globe."
US to reclaim top exporter spot from Israel
In 2014, Israel again secured its position as the top exporter of UAVs. However, this year and into the foreseeable future, the US is forecast to regain a significant leading position through sales of General Atomics Predator series and Northrop Grumman Global Hawk.
Indigenous UAV industry on the rise
Western Europe, forecast to reach $1.3 billion in sales by 2024, continues to grow its capability, with the aim of building a strong indigenous UAV industry and to lessen its reliance on US and Israeli imports.
However, China, the Russian Federation, India, South Korea and Japan are increasing their investments Sales for these nations together are forecast to reach $3.4 billion by 2024. This sets the scene for a future vibrant global marketplace.
New technology advances crucial for success
Demand for new technology and capability enhancement has driven the exponential growth of the market. "UAVs have proven their utility over the last decade or so, most notably in Afghanistan," said Huw Williams, unmanned systems editor for IHS Jane’s International Defence Review. "Operators are now moving to expand their mission sets beyond visual surveillance and reconnaissance, and are introducing sophisticated intelligence and electronic warfare systems, as well as a wider range of munitions."
"As technology matures, we are set to see Unmanned Combat Air Vehicles (UCAVs) come in to service," Williams said. "These will feature ‘stealthy’ characteristics and advanced payloads and weaponry. They will operate alongside manned aircraft and eventually even replace them in many roles."
Manned and unmanned operations crucial
"There is a growing need for integrated and networked manned and unmanned operations," Maple said. "Anti-Access Area Denial (A2AD) environments will likely become more prevalent as will the systems' need to address these."
Countermeasure technologies are progressing and there are demands for robust communications capability and the need to push forward sense and avoid systems.
Increased levels of augmented intelligence provide the capability for UAVs to react better to unplanned events. Longer-term plans include the potential for using swarms of small unmanned aircraft to attack and jam enemy defenses.
Data
Exports: Israel was the top exporter in 2014, closely followed by the US. These two countries shared 71 percent of all UAV exports.
In 2015, the US will swing back to number one exporter with some 57 percent of the total and over the next five years is forecast to grow exports to account for over two thirds of the total. Israel will retain the number two position, whilst export market shares for Italy, France, Germany and the UK are under pressure, with Turkey, Sweden and South Africa increasing.
Imports: NATO procurement has lead imports in 2014 and 2015, and together with other sales to Western European countries accounts for over 60 percent of total imports. These nations will continue to be a leading and major element of imports over the next five years.
However, South Korea, Japan, India and Australia, are growing importers and together are forecast to account for over 35 percent of total imports over this period.
Suggested Items
Rogers Corporation Reports Q2 2024 Results
07/26/2024 | Rogers CorporationNet sales of $214.2 million increased 0.4% versus the prior quarter resulting from higher sales in the EMS business unit. EMS net sales increased by 10.5% primarily from higher EV/HEV and portable electronics sales, partially offset by slightly lower aerospace and defense (A&D) sales.
Amphenol Reports Record Q2 2024 Results and Announces Dividend Increase
07/26/2024 | Amphenol CorporationThe Company continues to deploy its financial strength in a variety of ways to increase shareholder value. During the quarter, the Company purchased 3.1 million shares of its common stock for $190 million and paid dividends of $132 million, resulting in total capital returned to shareholders of more than $320 million.
NCAB Releases Interim Report, January–June 2024
07/25/2024 | NCABNet sales decreased by 12% to SEK 935.1 million (1,057.5). In USD, net sales decreased 13%. For comparable units, net sales decreased 15% in both SEK and USD.
Personal Computing Sales Through Distribution Return to Growth, Driven by AI PCs
07/24/2024 | IDCDistributor revenue remained flat year over year at $19.5 billion in the second quarter of 2024 (2Q24), according to the International Data Corporation (IDC) North America Distribution Tracker (NADT).
Cicor Group Grows Significantly and Shows Robust Operational Performance in a Challenging Environment
07/24/2024 | CicorCicor Group has continued to grow significantly in the first half of 2024, advancing into the top tier of European electronics manufacturers. Net sales reached CHF 231.3 million, an increase of 16.1% compared to CHF 199.2 million for the first half of 2023.