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The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index increased in April, following a decline in March. The Index now stands at 128.7 (1985=100), up from 127.0 in March. The Present Situation Index increased from 158.1 to 159.6, while the Expectations Index improved from 106.2 last month to 108.1 this month.
The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and analytics around what consumers buy and watch. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was April 12.
“Consumer confidence increased moderately in April after a decline in March,” said Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. “Consumers’ assessment of current conditions improved somewhat, with consumers rating both business and labor market conditions quite favorably. Consumers’ short-term expectations also improved, with the% of consumers expecting their incomes to decline over the coming months reaching its lowest level since December 2000 (6.0%). Overall, confidence levels remain strong and suggest that the economy will continue expanding at a solid pace in the months ahead.”
Consumers’ appraisal of current conditions improved modestly in April. The percentage saying business conditions are “good” decreased from 37.6% to 35.2%, however those claiming business conditions are “bad” also decreased, from 13.3% to 11.3%. Consumers’ assessment of the labor market was also mixed. The percentage of consumers claiming jobs are “plentiful” declined from 39.5% to 38.1%, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get” also declined, from 15.7% to 15.2%.
Consumers were moderately more positive about the short-term outlook in April. The%age of consumers anticipating business conditions will improve over the next six months increased from 23.2% to 24.5%, while those expecting business conditions will worsen decreased from 10.2% to 9.7%.
Consumers’ outlook for the labor market was also more positive. The proportion expecting more jobs in the months ahead increased from 18.9% to 19.5%, while those anticipating fewer jobs remained at 12.5%. Regarding their short-term income prospects, the percentage of consumers expecting an improvement was virtually unchanged at 23.1%, while the proportion expecting a decrease declined from 7.2% to 6.8%.
About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is a global, independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. Winner of the Consensus Economics 2016 Forecast Accuracy Award (U.S.), The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. For more information, click here.
