UAV Market to Reach $10B Mark by 2024
October 5, 2015 | IHSEstimated reading time: 2 minutes
The global defense and security market for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), also referred to as 'drones', will expand at 5.5 percent per year over this decade, from the current figure of $6.4 billion, to $10.4 billion by 2024, according to new analysis released today by IHS Inc.
"Unmanned systems are here to stay," said Derrick Maple, principal analyst, unmanned systems for IHS Jane's. "These systems are well established, combat proven and are an essential and expanding element of future operations across the globe."
US to reclaim top exporter spot from Israel
In 2014, Israel again secured its position as the top exporter of UAVs. However, this year and into the foreseeable future, the US is forecast to regain a significant leading position through sales of General Atomics Predator series and Northrop Grumman Global Hawk.
Indigenous UAV industry on the rise
Western Europe, forecast to reach $1.3 billion in sales by 2024, continues to grow its capability, with the aim of building a strong indigenous UAV industry and to lessen its reliance on US and Israeli imports.
However, China, the Russian Federation, India, South Korea and Japan are increasing their investments Sales for these nations together are forecast to reach $3.4 billion by 2024. This sets the scene for a future vibrant global marketplace.
New technology advances crucial for success
Demand for new technology and capability enhancement has driven the exponential growth of the market. "UAVs have proven their utility over the last decade or so, most notably in Afghanistan," said Huw Williams, unmanned systems editor for IHS Jane’s International Defence Review. "Operators are now moving to expand their mission sets beyond visual surveillance and reconnaissance, and are introducing sophisticated intelligence and electronic warfare systems, as well as a wider range of munitions."
"As technology matures, we are set to see Unmanned Combat Air Vehicles (UCAVs) come in to service," Williams said. "These will feature ‘stealthy’ characteristics and advanced payloads and weaponry. They will operate alongside manned aircraft and eventually even replace them in many roles."
Manned and unmanned operations crucial
"There is a growing need for integrated and networked manned and unmanned operations," Maple said. "Anti-Access Area Denial (A2AD) environments will likely become more prevalent as will the systems' need to address these."
Countermeasure technologies are progressing and there are demands for robust communications capability and the need to push forward sense and avoid systems.
Increased levels of augmented intelligence provide the capability for UAVs to react better to unplanned events. Longer-term plans include the potential for using swarms of small unmanned aircraft to attack and jam enemy defenses.
Data
Exports: Israel was the top exporter in 2014, closely followed by the US. These two countries shared 71 percent of all UAV exports.
In 2015, the US will swing back to number one exporter with some 57 percent of the total and over the next five years is forecast to grow exports to account for over two thirds of the total. Israel will retain the number two position, whilst export market shares for Italy, France, Germany and the UK are under pressure, with Turkey, Sweden and South Africa increasing.
Imports: NATO procurement has lead imports in 2014 and 2015, and together with other sales to Western European countries accounts for over 60 percent of total imports. These nations will continue to be a leading and major element of imports over the next five years.
However, South Korea, Japan, India and Australia, are growing importers and together are forecast to account for over 35 percent of total imports over this period.
Suggested Items
Punching Out: Breaking Out of the Valuation Box
05/09/2024 | Tom Kastner -- Column: Punching Out!Most companies are in a “valuation box.” That is, the value of the company, based on a market multiple, is not equal to the value of the assets. Or worse, once debt is paid off, the net proceeds would actually be negative. Here are some tips for getting out of the box.
Schweizer Electronic: Business Development in Q1 2024
05/08/2024 | Schweizer Electronic AGThe sales of the SCHWEIZER Group amounted to EUR 39.2 million in the first quarter of 2024 (Q1 2023: EUR 37.1 million). This corresponds to an increase of +5.5 percent compared to the same quarter of the previous year.
Q1 Global Semiconductor Sales Increase 15.2% YoY
05/07/2024 | SIAThe Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) announced worldwide sales of semiconductors totaled $137.7 billion during the first quarter of 2024, an increase of 15.2% compared to the first quarter of 2023 but 5.7% less than the fourth quarter of 2023.
IMI Welcomes New CEO
05/03/2024 | IMIIntegrated Micro-Electronics, Inc. (IMI),The IMI Board of Directors announced, in a disclosure dated April 25, 2024, the appointment of Louis Sylvester Hughes, Chief Executive Officer (CEO).
Benchmark Reports Q1 2024 Results
05/03/2024 | PRNewswireRevenue decreased quarter over quarter and year over year primarily due to decreases in Medical, Advanced Computing and Next-Generation Communication sales, which were partially offset by an increase in Complex Industrials sales quarter-over-quarter and increases in Semi-Cap and A&D sales year-over-year.